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Thursday, October 22, 2015

Breeders Crown Picks

With the Breeders Crown races being contested this Saturday at Woodbine Racetrack (6:30 Post), it is time for me to once again take out the handicapping pencil and make my selections for the 13 race card (the last race is a twelve horse overnight for the Jackpot Hi-5 wager).

Admittedly, my selections are looking at higher priced options.  However, with the big money on the line some upsets figure to loom.  The key is to find the right horse at the right price.  Hoping to do so with some of these selections.  As always, these selections are my initial picks but may vary depending on the actual race time odds.


1st - Breeders Crown Open Mare Trot (Post Time 6:30pm)
8 - Daylon Miracle (B. Miller, 15-1) - Last two are tosses.  Can shock with an aggressive drive here.
6 - D'One (D. Miller, 7-5) - The best of the field but not my pick at these odds.
2 - Harley Momma (Zeron, 15-1) - Only one win this year but can suck along and land on ticket.
5 - Bax Of Life (Christoforou, 15-1) - Finished third with horrible trip at Lex.  A better trip completes the ticket.

2nd - Breeders Crown 2yo Filly Pace
1 - Darlinonthebeach (D. Miller, 5-1) - Finished second in her elim.  Can control from the rail.
3 - Pure Country (B. Miller, 2-5) - A perfect 9 for 9 this year.  Again, low odds makes her unplayable,
4 - Lyons River Pride (Sears, 15-1) - Been in the money with #3 in last two starts.  Why not again?
5 - Yankee Moonshine (Gingras, 6-1) - Elim winner finished second to #3 at Lexington.

3rd - Breeders Crown 2yo Collt and Gelding Trot
9 - Milligans School (A. Miller, 15-1) - Won two at Lexington.  Chalking up last effort as a possible fluke.
5 - Southwind Frank (Gingras, 2-5) - A likely winner but for this type of money, looking for someone to rough this one up.
6 - Lagerfeld (Jo. Takter, 4-1) - Ever so consistent to land in money.  No reason to suspect otherwise.
4 - Sliding Home (D. Miller, 15-1) - With inside post this one may make the ticket.

4th - Breeders Crown 3yo Filly Pace
1 - Divine  Caroline (D Miller, 2-1) - Looking to make it four straight tonight.
2 - Bettor Be Steppin (Callahan, 9-2) - Bad trip in last.  Looking for better luck here.
3 - Solar Sister (McNair, 7-2) - Elim winner should return with another good effort.
4 - Bedroomconfessions (Ti. Tetrick, 4-1) - Finished second after bad trip.  Any trip should have her in the money.

5th - Breeders Crown 2yo Filly Trot
3 - Womans Will (A. Miller, 12-1) - Toss elimination.  Chance off of two solid Lex efforts.  Taking a stab here.
7 - Kathy Parker (Jo. Takter, 12-1) - No doubt tailing off but may have enough to land second.
5 - Haughty (Palone, 3-1) - Winner of three straight; may improve rating
4 - All The Time (Gingras, 7-5) - Winner of her elimination.  Still think the odds too low.

6th - Breeders Crown 3yo Filly Trot                               
3 - Wild Hone (Campbell, 7-5) - KY Filly Futurity set to repeat.
7 - Mission Brief (Gingras, 2-5) - Finished second to top choice.  Not at these odds.
4 - Speak To Me (B. Miller, 20-1) - Buckette winner can finish on ticket behind top choices.
2 - Classical Annie (Merriman, 30-1) -  Toss last.  May finish in top fourth.

7th - Breeders Crown 2yo Colt and Gelding Pace
  5 - American Passport (Zeron, 10-1) - Won three straight before last.  Possibly acclimated.
  1 - Racing Hill (B. Miller, 2-1) - Winner of last three starts.  Must respect.
10 - Talk Show (Callahan, 30-1) - Saddled with horrible post.  May spice of trifecta tickets.
  2 - Spider Man Hanover (D. Miller, 6-1) - Been racing well.  Possibly better rating.

8th - Breeders Crown 3yo Colt and Gelding Trot 
1 - Pinkman (Gingras, 3-5) - Just don't see someone defeating this top trotter.
4 - Muscle Diamond (Campbell, 9-2) - Grabs second with any type of trip.
6 - French Laundry (B. Miller, 5-1) - Seems to have woken up.  Lands share.
7 - Crescent Fashion (Zeron, 12-1) - Consistent all year.  No reason to suspect otherise.

9th - Breeders Crown 3yo Colt and Gelding Pace
  4 - Freaky Feet Pete (Tr. Tetrick, 9-5) - Has never been better.  Likely winner
10 - Artistic MMajor (Kakaley, 20-1) - Set up perfectly if you get a speed duel set up front.
  5 - Artspeak (Zeron, 3-1) - Son of Western Ideal has flexibility to win on or off the pace.
  3 - Wakizashi Hanover (Ti. Tetrick, 5-2) - Can't ignore.  Improve rating at higher odds.

10th - Breeders Crown Open Mares Pace
1 - Colors A Virgin (D. Miller, 10-1) - Allerage looks to repeat.  Draws rail.
2 -  Sandbetweenurtoes (Filion, 6-1) - Flamboro winner draws well.  Needs break in trip.
3 - Skippin By (Waples, 12-1) - Just missed against top choice.
9 - Venus Delight (Bartlett, 3-1) - Milton winner freshened.  Post may be the difference.

11th - Breeders Crown Open Trot
6 - Creatine (Jo Takter, 4-1) - Faltered against severe pressure in International.  Should bounce back.
3 - Gural Hanover (Kakaley, 15-1) - Last shows improvement.  Threat with trip.
7 - Master of Law (B. Miller, 8-1) - Good effort in last.  Figures to land share.
4 - Bee A Magician (Sears, 2-1) - Tough trip against open trotters in last.  Admittedly may improve selection here.

12th - Breeders Crown Open Pace 
3 -Always B Miki (D. Miller, 4-5) - Appears unbeatable.
2 - Mach It So (Ti. Tetrick, 12-1) - Will be a factor with a trip.
4 -Foiled Again (Gingras, 6-1) - Does the veteran have another win in him?  Never say never.
5 - Bettors Edge (Sears, 12-1) - Burke trainee figures to land share.

13th - Non-winners $8,000 last 5 or non-winners $18,000 last 10 starts.  AE Opt $25K claimers; nw $10,000 in 2015
  9 - WEb Cam (Gingras, 10-1) - Returns an improved horse.  Only one with consistent lines. Why not at a price?
  4 - Thepaninsulahotel (Christoforou, 7-1) - Bad trip in last and drops down.  Competitive here.
  8 - Carracci Hanover (Baillargeon, 6-1) - Quit in last.  May improve with a trip..
10 - Monte Cristo (Jamieson, 15-1) - Hard to gauge where he belongs.  Is this the spot?
11 - Curious Phoenix (Ja. Macdonald, 5-1) - Definite contender here.  Second tier drops him down in rankings.





















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