Night Owl Pick 4

For the night owls amongst you, Cal Expo's late Pick 4 is being televised on TVG on Saturday night/Sunday morning with the last race likely to go off around 2:45AM Sunday on the East Coast.  If you are hardy enough, you may want to take a stab at the 15% takeout, $20,000 guaranteed Pick 4 which last week had a final pool of over $38,000, or you may want to take a stab at the individual races.  It is for you, these selections are being provided as a guideline.

Here is my analysis of those races.

Cal Expo, Saturday May 19, 2012

12th Pace - $3,600; $6,000 Claiming Conditioned
  1 - Phantom Dan (Kennedy, 7-2) - Tossed in a clunker last week; disregard that effort.
  2 - Afinetouchofclass (Plano, 8-1) - Been off form of late; toss. 
  3 - Lucky To Live (Svendsen, 6-1) - Challenges with a more conservative drive.
  4 - Dancing Barry (Vallandingham, 6-1) - Winless in two years.  No reason to think this week is different.
  5 - Glad To Be Here (Wiseman, 8-1) - Needs the perfect trip to threaten.
  6 - Young American (Maier, 6-1) - Post doesn't favor him here.
  7 - Arts Spice (Herrera, 12-1) - Minor spoils at best. 
  8 - Twentyone Guns (Cisco, 2-1) - Jammed in last; drops into claimers.  The one to beat?
  9 - Mobil Big John (Pacheco(P), 12-1) - Post eliminates.
10 - Dream U Fool (Wojcio, 10-1) - Post rules out.
Selections: 8-3-1-7

13th Pace - $2,900; $2,500 Claiming NW251PS 2012
1 - Arch Nemeses (Wiseman, 2-1) - Slight drop makes this one competitive.
2 - Dynamite Express (Plano, 5-1) - Lands share with smart drive.
3 - Total Up (Cisco, 6-1) - Threatens off class drop.
4 - Bolero Twister (Kennedy, 5-1) - Has not been sharp of late.  Scratched in last.
5 - Village Benjamin (Vallandingham, 12-1) - Seems to be up against it; not here.
6 - Mighty Fine Hi Ho (Maier, 5-2) - Nice efort in last race.  No reason why can't repeat.
7 - Yougotwhatyouwant (Silvestri, 12-1) - Needs trip to compete.  Don't see the trip deceloping his way.
Scratched: Komodas Fantasy (Vet)
Selections: 6-1-2-3


14th Pace - $3,000; $2,500 Claiming NW401PS 2012
1 - Power of Elizabeth (Hernandez-Arriaga(QF), 12-1) - Not with this driver on board
2 - Doit By The Clock (Kennedy, 7-2) -  Still not likely.
3 - Quick On My Feet (Svendsen, 8-1) - Minor spoils om best effort.
4 - Jessalilpeace (Lackey, 5-1) - Second half of Ruiz entry seems weaker.                                
5 - Coal Younger (Plano, 3-1) - This driver on board last time good effort.
6 - Spartan Law (Wiseman, 2-1) - Logical pick off class drop.
7 - Bullet Tooth Tony (Silvestri, 8-1) - Been live in last four; needs good trip
8 - Sterling Chris (Stidham, 8-1) - Seems in deep.
Selections: 7-5-6-3

15th Pace - $2,700;  FM $2,500 Claiming NW201PS 2012
1 - Matty Rose (Welence, 12-1) - Little to recommend.
2 -  Lil Hope (Wiseman, 8-1) - A possibility with a more conservative drive.
3 - Ravenswood Racewy (Luster, 12-1) - Nothing to recommend.
4 - Desired Result (Silvestri, 12-1) - Should be tighter.  Lands share.
5 - Brooklets Sundance (Plano, 2-1) - Back down in winning class.
6 - Gee Up (Cisco, 5-2) - Drops while competitive.  Always a good sign
7 - Amazon Dot (Vallandingham, 9-2) -  Unable to sustain drive last week.  Could be the one?
8 - You Go Shirl (Kennedy, 12-1) - Can't recommend.
9 - Groovin Hi (Svendsen, 12-1) - Shows poor form.  Out.
Selections: 6-8-